Instead of Crumbling in 4Q, Herbalife Impresses Wall Street

Josh Long, Associate editorial director, SupplySide Supplement Journal

February 21, 2013

2 Min Read
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LOS ANGELESHerbalife Ltd. continues to exceed Wall Street's expectations despite fighting a public relations war and facing a Securities and Exchange Commission probe following allegations from an investor that its business model is an unsustainable pyramid scheme.

The company on Tuesday posted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.05, reaching the high end of its pre-announced guidance and a few pennies above analysts' consensus. Herbalife also raised its EPS guidance for the year to $4.45 to $4.65, from $4.40 to $4.55. In 27 of the last 28 quarters, the global nutrition company has beat Wall Street's consensus on EPS, according to equity analysts with SunTrust Robinson Humphrey.

Shares of Herbalife (HLF) plunged after hedge fund manager William Ackman of Pershing Square Capital claimed in December the multi-level marketing company is destined to collapse. Herbalife has vigorously denied that it operates an unlawful pyramid scheme, and the stock price has been rebounding since Christmas Eve when the stock fell to a 52-week low ($24.24). It closed at $37.78 on Wednesday.

"We believe, based upon the advice of experts and prior guidance from the FTC in this area, that our network marketing program is compliant with applicable law," Herbalife declared Tuesday in a 10-K filing.

In the filing, Herbalife disclosed the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has requested information on its business and financial operations after it requested a meeting with SEC staff. The company said it is cooperating with the agency.

Analysts observed that Herbalife's auditor, KPMG, gave an "unqualified opinion" on the effectiveness of its internal controls regarding its financial reporting.

"Bullish guidance for 1Q13 and an increase to FY13 guidance likely indicates that the negative publicity that Pershing Square is creating is not having a significant impact on actual results, at least at this point," equity analysts Brian Wang and Meredith Adler of Barclays wrote in a research report. "Additionally, the fact that KPMG signed off on the 2012 financial results may ease the concerns of some investors."

In the fourth quarter, Herbalife posted net income of $117.8 million on net sales of $1.1 billion. Net sales, defined as product sales plus shipping and handling revenues, were up 20% over the year-ago period. The company raised its FY13 sales growth to 12-14%, up from 10-12%.

Guidance excluded certain items, including $10 million to $20 million in costs that predominantly consists of advisory and legal services to defend Ackman's claims, revealed Herbalife, which distributes its products in 88 countries (as of Dec. 31) through 3.2 million distributors. 

"It is clear that over time Herbalife is answering the questions that need to be answered and providing greater clarity around their business model - one that we see as simple but effective," D.A. Davidson & Co. equity analyst Timothy Ramey wrote in a research note.

About the Author

Josh Long

Associate editorial director, SupplySide Supplement Journal , Informa Markets Health and Nutrition

Josh Long directs the online news, feature and op-ed coverage at SupplySide Supplement Journal (formerly known as Natural Products Insider), which targets the health and wellness industry. He has been reporting on developments in the dietary supplement industry for over a decade, with a focus on regulatory issues, including at the Food and Drug Administration.

He has moderated and/or presented at industry trade shows, including SupplySide East, SupplySide West, Natural Products Expo West, NBJ Summit and the annual Dietary Supplement Regulatory Summit.

Connect with Josh on LinkedIn and ping him with story ideas at [email protected]

Education and previous experience

Josh majored in journalism and graduated from Arizona State University the same year "Jake the Snake" Plummer led the Sun Devils to the Rose Bowl against the Ohio State Buckeyes. He also holds a J.D. from the University of Wyoming College of Law, was admitted in 2008 to practice law in the state of Colorado and spent a year clerking for a state district court judge.

Over more than a quarter century, he’s written on various topics for newspapers and business-to-business publications – from the Yavapai in Arizona and a controversial plan for a nuclear-waste incinerator in Idaho to nuanced issues, including FDA enforcement of the Dietary Supplement Health and Education Act of 1994 (DSHEA).

Since the late 1990s, his articles have been published in a variety of media, including but not limited to, the Cape Cod Times (in Massachusetts), Sedona Red Rock News (in Arizona), Denver Post (in Colorado), Casper Star-Tribune (in Wyoming), now-defunct Jackson Hole Guide (in Wyoming), Colorado Lawyer (published by the Colorado Bar Association) and Nutrition Business Journal.

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